One idea per screen.

EXPECTED VALUE

chase expected value — not just the likely outcome.

ENTROPY

don't fight the mess once — pay the small upkeep daily.

REGRESSION TO THE MEAN

react to your average — not your best or worst day.

BASE RATES

start from the rate — not the headline.

COMPOUNDING

don’t quit in the flat part — that’s where the curve begins.

LOSS AVERSION

don’t let the fear of losing — cost you the better bet.

SUNK COST

decide from here — not from what’s already gone.

VARIANCE vs MEAN

tame the swings — not just the average.

VIA NEGATIVA

subtract first — then see what’s actually missing.

HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING

design around now — don’t rely on willpower later.

LOCAL vs GLOBAL OPTIMUM

trade the small peak — for the climb that matters.