Essays on decision-making, probability, and signal over noise.https://thequantphilosopher.com/https://thequantphilosopher.com/essays/stop-overfitting-your-life/https://thequantphilosopher.com/essays/stop-overfitting-your-life/The same error that ruins a trading model ruins a life: mistaking noise for signal, and rebuilding everything around the last data point.Mon, 01 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://thequantphilosopher.com/essays/the-discipline-of-changing-your-mind/https://thequantphilosopher.com/essays/the-discipline-of-changing-your-mind/Bayesian updating is not flip-flopping. It's the rule for moving your beliefs by exactly the weight of the evidence — no more, no less.Sun, 24 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT